Something your friend says leads you to make a friendly wager: that with one roll of the die from the game, you will get a 6.Straight odds are one in six, a 16 percent probability.However it was the disconnect between the perfection of nature and our human imperfections in measuring and understanding it that led to Laplace's involvement in a theory based on probabilism.
Instead it was developed by the French mathematician and astronomer Pierre-Simon Laplace.
Laplace believed in scientific determinism — given the location of every particle in the universe and enough computing power we could predict the universe perfectly.
It was an evolving system, with each bit of new information pushed closer and closer to certitude.
Let's imagine that you and a friend have spent the afternoon playing your favorite board game, and now, at the end of the game, you are chatting about this and that.
This contrasted with the more skeptical viewpoint of the Scottish philosopher David Hume, who argued that since we could not be certain that the sun would rise again, a prediction that it would was inherently no more rational than one that it wouldn't.